L’École des cotes

Hanne Vandewinkel v Madison Keys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hanne Vandewinkel (Local)

Prévision 15.39%6.50cote équitable
EV +7.72%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.099%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%15.67%15.41%19.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.056.157.0020.00%16.54%16.26%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 84.61%1.18cote équitable
EV -0.159%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.882%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.91%84.33%84.59%86.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.121.1890.91%88.71%89.29%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.72%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.099%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:19
Codere (IT)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +4.64%E +0.683%K +0.801%G +0.037%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 16:20
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +3.87%E +0.574%K +0.674%G +0.026%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:20
Fanatics6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.57%E +0.237%K +0.280%G +0.004%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:19
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-26 16:50
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:49
MyBookie.ag6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:19
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:39
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:19
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:50
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.027%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:20
NordicBet6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -0.588%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 16:20
Betsson6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -0.588%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 16:20
Marathon Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -0.742%E -0.115%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 16:30
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.51%E -0.236%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:40
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:20
BetAnything6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:14
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -3.82%E -0.611%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:20
GTbets6.18I 16.18%NM 15.11%EV -4.90%E -0.792%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.89%EV -6.93%E -6.30%K -69.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:40
Fliff6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -5.36%E -0.871%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 16:50
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 16:50
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 16:50
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -6.13%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 16:50
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -6.90%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 16:40
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.70%E -2.35%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 16:50
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:50
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:42
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:40
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:20
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.67%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.08%E -5.48%K -55.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 16:20
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -9.21%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Pinnacle5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV -9.36%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -10.75%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 16:50
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:50
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.39%E -3.88%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.36%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.54%E -3.11%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:40
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -16.44%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:50
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -16.44%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:49
DraftKings5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -19.06%E -3.62%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:50
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -0.159%E -0.135%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:50
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:43
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:43
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:42
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.00%E -0.859%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:42
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.85%E -1.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 16:44
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.70%E -2.35%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -23.06%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.24%E -4.67%K -43.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 16:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig7.25I 13.79%NM 13.79%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.21%0.0%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%1.4%2026-05-26 16:50
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%2.1%2026-05-26 16:50