Language:English
Eva Lys v Sorana Cirstea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Eva Lys (Local)
Prediction 24.07%4.15fair odd
EV +10.72%
Edge +2.33%
Kelly +2.98%
Growth +0.319%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%24.20%23.92%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.963.954.6030.30%25.27%25.32%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visit)
Prediction 75.93%1.32fair odd
EV -0.531%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%75.80%76.08%79.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.241.241.3184.75%80.87%80.65%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eva Lys (Local): 24.07%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 75.93%. For Eva Lys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +10.72%E +2.33%K +2.98%G +0.319% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 16:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.31%EV +10.24%E +2.24%K +2.86%G +0.293% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.69%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.31%E +1.85%K +2.38%G +0.197% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.12%E -6.71%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.31%E +1.85%K +2.38%G +0.197% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.40%E -8.82%K -57.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.91%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.103% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.12%E -6.71%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 16:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 16:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +3.50%E +0.814%K +1.06%G +0.037% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.50%E +0.814%K +1.06%G +0.037% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 16:51 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -2.52%E -0.622%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 16:52 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 16:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.92%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -9.50%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.74%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.74%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.15%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.15%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -12.87%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.99%EV -14.31%E -4.02%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -16.96%E -4.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -19.37%E -5.78%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -20.57%E -6.23%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -0.531%E -0.406%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 17:00 |