L’École des cotes

Eva Lys v Sorana Cirstea

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 17:03 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Eva Lys (Local)

Prévision 24.07%4.15cote équitable
EV +10.72%
Avantage +2.33%
Kelly +2.98%
Croissance +0.319%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%24.20%23.92%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.963.954.6030.30%25.27%25.32%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.93%1.32cote équitable
EV -0.531%
Avantage -0.406%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.58%75.80%76.08%79.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.241.241.3184.75%80.87%80.65%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +10.72%E +2.33%K +2.98%G +0.319%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 16:53
Pinnacle4.58I 21.83%NM 21.31%EV +10.24%E +2.24%K +2.86%G +0.293%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.69%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.31%E +1.85%K +2.38%G +0.197%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.12%E -6.71%K -38.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 16:59
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.31%E +1.85%K +2.38%G +0.197%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.40%E -8.82%K -57.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 16:59
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.91%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.103%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.12%E -6.71%K -38.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 16:51
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 16:59
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 16:59
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:58
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +3.50%E +0.814%K +1.06%G +0.037%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 16:55
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.50%E +0.814%K +1.06%G +0.037%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 16:59
MyBookie.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:55
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:51
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:59
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 16:59
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:48
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 17:00
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 17:00
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 16:59
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 16:59
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -2.52%E -0.622%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:52
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:59
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 16:58
Coolbet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.92%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:59
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 17:00
DraftKings3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -9.50%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 17:00
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.74%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.74%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 17:00
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.15%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Fliff3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.15%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Betsson3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -12.87%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 17:00
NordicBet3.56I 28.09%NM 25.99%EV -14.31%E -4.02%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 17:00
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 17:00
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -16.96%E -4.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -19.37%E -5.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-27 17:00
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -20.57%E -6.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -0.531%E -0.406%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Novig3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%4.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%4.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-05-27 17:00