La escuela de los momios

Eva Lys v Sorana Cirstea

Inicio: 2026-05-27 17:03 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Eva Lys (Local)

Predicción 24.07%4.15momio equitativo
EV +10.72%
Ventaja +2.33%
Kelly +2.98%
Crecimiento +0.319%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.69%24.20%23.92%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.963.954.6030.30%25.27%25.32%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Predicción 75.93%1.32momio equitativo
EV -0.531%
Ventaja -0.406%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.58%75.80%76.08%79.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.241.241.3184.75%80.87%80.65%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +10.72%E +2.33%K +2.98%G +0.319%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 16:53
Pinnacle4.58I 21.83%NM 21.31%EV +10.24%E +2.24%K +2.86%G +0.293%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.69%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.31%E +1.85%K +2.38%G +0.197%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.12%E -6.71%K -38.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 16:59
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.31%E +1.85%K +2.38%G +0.197%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.40%E -8.82%K -57.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 16:59
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.91%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.103%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.12%E -6.71%K -38.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 16:51
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 16:59
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 16:59
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +4.46%E +1.03%K +1.34%G +0.060%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:58
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +3.50%E +0.814%K +1.06%G +0.037%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 16:55
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.50%E +0.814%K +1.06%G +0.037%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 16:59
MyBookie.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:55
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:51
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:59
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.30%E +0.540%K +0.706%G +0.016%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 16:59
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:48
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 17:00
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.09%E +0.260%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 17:00
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 16:59
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.31%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 16:59
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -2.52%E -0.622%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:52
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:59
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.72%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.88%E -7.40%K -44.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 16:58
Coolbet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.92%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:59
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:00
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 17:00
DraftKings3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -9.50%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 17:00
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.74%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.74%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 17:00
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.15%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Fliff3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.15%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Betsson3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -12.87%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -5.85%E -4.71%K -24.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 17:00
NordicBet3.56I 28.09%NM 25.99%EV -14.31%E -4.02%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 17:00
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 17:00
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.76%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.05%E -1.59%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -16.96%E -4.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-27 17:00
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -19.37%E -5.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-27 17:00
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -20.57%E -6.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -0.531%E -0.406%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Novig3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%4.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%4.7%2026-05-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-05-27 17:00