Language:English
Donna Vekic v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Donna Vekic (Local)
Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV +5.42%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 4.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.35%26.11%26.00%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.593.604.0732.26%27.82%27.78%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 74.10%1.35fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%73.89%74.00%76.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.281.281.3382.64%78.34%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Donna Vekic (Local): 25.90%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 74.10%. For Donna Vekic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.35%EV +5.42%E +1.33%K +1.77%G +0.096% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.65%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.02%E +0.261%K +0.351%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -10.34%E -8.55%K -49.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.60%E -7.87%K -43.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.13%E -0.836%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -3.39%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -4.68%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -7.27%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -1.45%E -1.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -10.34%E -8.55%K -49.25%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.86%E -7.20%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.70%E -6.36%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.45%E -1.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |