La escuela de los momios

Donna Vekic v Naomi Osaka

Inicio: 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Donna Vekic (Local)

Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV +5.42%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.096%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.35%26.11%26.00%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.604.0732.26%27.82%27.78%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Predicción 74.10%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -4.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%73.89%74.00%76.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.281.281.3382.64%78.34%78.13%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings4.07I 24.57%NM 23.35%EV +5.42%E +1.33%K +1.77%G +0.096%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.65%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:09
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.02%E +0.261%K +0.351%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 09:09
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:04
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 09:10
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 09:09
Fliff3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -10.34%E -8.55%K -49.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 09:09
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 09:09
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 09:10
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:10
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:10
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:09
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:09
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.60%E -7.87%K -43.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:10
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.13%E -0.836%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -3.39%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 09:00
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 09:10
NordicBet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -4.68%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:09
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:00
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 09:09
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:09
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:04
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -7.27%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:59
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
GTbets3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -1.45%E -1.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-28 08:59
BetOnline.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:08
LowVig.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:08
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:04
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:09
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -10.34%E -8.55%K -49.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-28 09:09
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:01
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:00
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:10
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:10
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:10
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:09
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 09:10
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-28 09:10
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:04
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:03
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:10
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:09
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 09:08
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.86%E -7.20%K -38.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.70%E -6.36%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.45%E -1.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 09:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-05-28 09:10
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-05-28 09:10
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Novig4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%3.6%2026-05-28 09:10