L’École des cotes

Donna Vekic v Naomi Osaka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prévision 25.90%3.86cote équitable
EV +5.42%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.35%26.11%26.00%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.604.0732.26%27.82%27.78%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.10%1.35cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -4.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%73.89%74.00%76.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.281.281.3382.64%78.34%78.13%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings4.07I 24.57%NM 23.35%EV +5.42%E +1.33%K +1.77%G +0.096%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.65%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:09
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.02%E +0.261%K +0.351%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 09:09
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:04
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 09:10
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 09:09
Fliff3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -10.34%E -8.55%K -49.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 09:09
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 09:09
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 09:10
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:10
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:10
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:09
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:09
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.60%E -7.87%K -43.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:10
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.13%E -0.836%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -3.39%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 09:00
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 09:10
NordicBet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -4.68%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -8.12%E -6.55%K -33.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:09
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:00
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 09:09
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:09
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:04
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:10
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -7.27%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:59
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:10
GTbets3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -1.45%E -1.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-28 08:59
BetOnline.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:08
LowVig.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:08
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:04
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 09:09
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:09
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -10.34%E -8.55%K -49.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-28 09:09
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 09:01
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:00
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:10
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:10
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:10
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:09
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.15%E -4.03%K -18.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 09:10
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.38%E -5.90%K -29.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-28 09:10
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.19%E -1.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:04
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -2.93%E -2.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:03
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.90%E -4.64%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 09:10
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.67%E -2.83%K -12.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:09
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 09:08
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.86%E -7.20%K -38.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 09:10
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.70%E -6.36%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.45%E -1.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 09:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-05-28 09:10
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-05-28 09:10
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-05-28 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-05-28 09:10
Novig4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%3.6%2026-05-28 09:10