Language:English
Donna Vekic v Alice Tubello
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Donna Vekic (Local)
Prediction 72.48%1.38fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +3.68%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%72.36%72.80%75.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.4080.00%77.11%76.92%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alice Tubello (Visit)
Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV +4.85%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%27.64%27.20%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.453.483.8135.71%29.03%28.78%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Donna Vekic (Local): 72.48%; Alice Tubello (Visit): 27.52%. For Alice Tubello (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +4.85%E +1.27%K +1.72%G +0.084% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +4.57%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.075% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +4.02%E +1.06%K +1.45%G +0.058% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.67%E -6.88%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.67%E -6.88%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +2.92%E +0.781%K +1.07%G +0.031% | 3.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.82%E +0.492%K +0.674%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.82%E +0.492%K +0.674%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.443%E +0.121%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:12 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:12 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:12 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.60%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.86%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.69%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.31%EV -6.99%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -2.15%E -1.59%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -11.66%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.43%E -1.05%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:12 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -14.97%E -4.84%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -18.82%E -6.38%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-26 09:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.47%E +1.05%K +3.68%G +0.054% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.95%E -8.20%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 09:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.24% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |