La escuela de los momios

Donna Vekic v Alice Tubello

Inicio: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Donna Vekic (Local)

Predicción 72.48%1.38momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +3.68%
Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%72.36%72.80%75.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.4080.00%77.11%76.92%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alice Tubello (Visitante)

Predicción 27.52%3.63momio equitativo
EV +4.85%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.084%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%27.64%27.20%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.453.483.8135.71%29.03%28.78%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +4.85%E +1.27%K +1.72%G +0.084%5.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +4.57%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.075%6.3%2026-05-26 09:19
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +4.02%E +1.06%K +1.45%G +0.058%4.0%2026-05-26 09:07
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.67%E -6.88%K -33.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037%6.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.67%E -6.88%K -33.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037%6.0%2026-05-26 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037%6.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +2.92%E +0.781%K +1.07%G +0.031%3.1%2026-05-26 09:10
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.82%E +0.492%K +0.674%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-26 09:05
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.82%E +0.492%K +0.674%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.443%E +0.121%K +0.167%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-26 09:12
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 08:59
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:12
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:12
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 09:20
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:09
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 08:59
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:00
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 73.60%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 08:59
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.86%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 08:59
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:04
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:20
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 08:59
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:20
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:19
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:20
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:19
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 72.69%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.31%EV -6.99%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:07
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:07
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:20
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 08:59
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:20
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 09:09
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:19
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:19
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 09:20
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -2.15%E -1.59%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -11.66%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:19
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.43%E -1.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:19
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:12
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 09:20
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -14.97%E -4.84%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -18.82%E -6.38%K -9.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-26 09:19
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.47%E +1.05%K +3.68%G +0.054%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.95%E -8.20%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-05-26 09:20
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.24%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76%5.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%5.9%2026-05-26 09:20