L’École des cotes

Donna Vekic v Alice Tubello

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prévision 72.48%1.38cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +3.68%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%72.36%72.80%75.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.4080.00%77.11%76.92%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alice Tubello (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV +4.85%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.084%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%27.64%27.20%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.453.483.8135.71%29.03%28.78%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +4.85%E +1.27%K +1.72%G +0.084%5.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +4.57%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.075%6.3%2026-05-26 09:19
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +4.02%E +1.06%K +1.45%G +0.058%4.0%2026-05-26 09:07
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.67%E -6.88%K -33.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037%6.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.67%E -6.88%K -33.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037%6.0%2026-05-26 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.20%E +0.852%K +1.16%G +0.037%6.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +2.92%E +0.781%K +1.07%G +0.031%3.1%2026-05-26 09:10
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.82%E +0.492%K +0.674%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-26 09:05
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.82%E +0.492%K +0.674%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.443%E +0.121%K +0.167%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-26 09:12
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 08:59
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:12
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:12
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.933%E -0.259%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 09:20
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:09
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 08:59
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:00
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 73.60%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -2.58%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 08:59
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.86%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 08:59
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:04
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:20
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 08:59
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:20
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:19
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:20
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:19
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 72.69%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.31%EV -6.99%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:07
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:07
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:20
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 08:59
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:20
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 09:09
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:19
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.60%E -2.71%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:19
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 09:20
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -2.15%E -1.59%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -11.66%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:19
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.43%E -1.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:19
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:12
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 09:20
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -4.32%E -3.28%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -14.97%E -4.84%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -18.82%E -6.38%K -9.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-26 09:19
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.47%E +1.05%K +3.68%G +0.054%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.95%E -8.20%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-05-26 09:20
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.24%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76%5.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%5.9%2026-05-26 09:20