Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider v Renata Zarazua

Kickoff: 2026-05-25 18:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prediction 83.47%1.20fair odd
EV +0.166%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.829%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%83.26%83.76%85.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.131.2092.59%88.50%88.50%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Renata Zarazua (Visit)

Prediction 16.53%6.05fair odd
EV +7.44%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.101%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.47%16.74%16.24%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.655.606.5022.73%17.69%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 83.47%; Renata Zarazua (Visit): 16.53%. For Renata Zarazua (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.05. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +7.44%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.101%6.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +3.14%E +0.503%K +0.599%G +0.019%4.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +2.48%E +0.399%K +0.476%G +0.012%3.8%2026-05-25 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 18:03
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 18:10
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -9.02%E -8.27%K -100.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -1.49%E -0.250%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 17:40
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.33%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.67%EV -2.15%E -0.363%K -0.437%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -9.85%E -9.12%K -123.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -2.48%E -0.421%K -0.506%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -3.31%E -0.566%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.96%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:08
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.25%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.25%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 17:40
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.33%EV -9.85%E -9.12%K -123.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.67%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.72%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.28%EV -11.41%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 18:10
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -12.40%E -2.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 18:10
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -14.05%E -2.70%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.34%E -2.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -15.70%E -3.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.36%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -0.669%E -0.562%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -19.84%E -4.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:09
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.34%E -2.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -20.66%E -4.30%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:09
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV +0.166%E +0.138%K +0.829%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -27.27%E -6.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-25 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-05-25 18:10
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%2.6%2026-05-25 18:10
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-05-25 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%5.1%2026-05-25 18:10
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 83.90%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.10%9.3%2026-05-25 18:10