La escuela de los momios

Diana Shnaider v Renata Zarazua

Inicio: 2026-05-25 18:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Predicción 83.47%1.20momio equitativo
EV +0.166%
Ventaja +0.138%
Kelly +0.829%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.57%83.26%83.76%85.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.131.131.2092.59%88.50%88.50%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Renata Zarazua (Visitante)

Predicción 16.53%6.05momio equitativo
EV +7.44%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.101%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.47%16.74%16.24%21.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.655.606.5022.73%17.69%17.86%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +7.44%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.101%6.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +3.14%E +0.503%K +0.599%G +0.019%4.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +2.48%E +0.399%K +0.476%G +0.012%3.8%2026-05-25 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 18:03
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:39
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 18:10
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -9.02%E -8.27%K -100.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 18:10
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -1.49%E -0.250%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 17:40
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 84.33%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.67%EV -2.15%E -0.363%K -0.437%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -9.85%E -9.12%K -123.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -2.48%E -0.421%K -0.506%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -3.31%E -0.566%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:40
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.96%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 17:40
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:08
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:39
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:10
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.25%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 17:39
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.25%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 17:40
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 17:40
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.33%EV -9.85%E -9.12%K -123.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.67%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:10
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.72%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.28%EV -11.41%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 18:10
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -12.40%E -2.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 18:10
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -14.05%E -2.70%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.34%E -2.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -15.70%E -3.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.36%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 17:39
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -0.669%E -0.562%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -19.84%E -4.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.34%E -2.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -20.66%E -4.30%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:09
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV +0.166%E +0.138%K +0.829%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -27.27%E -6.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-25 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-05-25 18:10
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%2.6%2026-05-25 18:10
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-05-25 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%5.1%2026-05-25 18:10
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 83.90%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.10%9.3%2026-05-25 18:10