L’École des cotes

Diana Shnaider v Renata Zarazua

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 18:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prévision 83.47%1.20cote équitable
EV +0.166%
Avantage +0.138%
Kelly +0.829%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.57%83.26%83.76%85.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.131.131.2092.59%88.50%88.50%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Renata Zarazua (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.53%6.05cote équitable
EV +7.44%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.101%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.47%16.74%16.24%21.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.655.606.5022.73%17.69%17.86%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +7.44%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.101%6.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.30%E +0.529%K +0.629%G +0.021%5.3%2026-05-25 18:10
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +3.14%E +0.503%K +0.599%G +0.019%4.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +2.48%E +0.399%K +0.476%G +0.012%3.8%2026-05-25 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 18:03
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:40
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:39
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 18:10
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -9.02%E -8.27%K -100.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -0.829%E -0.138%K -0.166%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 18:10
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -1.49%E -0.250%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 17:40
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 84.33%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.67%EV -2.15%E -0.363%K -0.437%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -9.85%E -9.12%K -123.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -2.48%E -0.421%K -0.506%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -3.31%E -0.566%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:40
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -4.13%E -0.713%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.96%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 17:40
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -7.44%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:08
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:40
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 17:39
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:10
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -9.09%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.25%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 17:39
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.17%E -2.74%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.25%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 17:40
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.01%E -3.49%K -26.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 17:40
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.33%EV -9.85%E -9.12%K -123.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.67%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:10
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.72%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.28%EV -11.41%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 18:10
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -12.40%E -2.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 18:10
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.23%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -14.05%E -2.70%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.34%E -2.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -15.70%E -3.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.36%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 17:39
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -0.669%E -0.562%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -19.84%E -4.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.34%E -2.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -20.66%E -4.30%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:09
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV +0.166%E +0.138%K +0.829%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -27.27%E -6.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-25 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-05-25 18:10
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%2.6%2026-05-25 18:10
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-05-25 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%5.1%2026-05-25 18:10
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 83.90%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.10%9.3%2026-05-25 18:10