Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider v McCartney Kessler

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prediction 73.96%1.35fair odd
EV +4.29%
Edge +3.04%
Kelly +10.46%
Growth +0.449%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.21%73.57%73.46%78.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.301.301.4182.64%77.14%76.92%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

McCartney Kessler (Visit)

Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV +15.86%
Edge +3.56%
Kelly +4.60%
Growth +0.729%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.38%26.43%26.54%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.533.524.4535.09%28.36%28.41%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 73.96%; McCartney Kessler (Visit): 26.04%. For McCartney Kessler (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -10.50%E -8.68%K -50.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +15.86%E +3.56%K +4.60%G +0.729%5.1%2026-05-28 11:32
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +11.96%E +2.78%K +3.62%G +0.433%3.9%2026-05-28 11:30
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%3.2%2026-05-28 11:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%5.1%2026-05-28 11:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%5.1%2026-05-28 11:29
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.05%E +1.94%K +2.56%G +0.206%4.7%2026-05-28 11:29
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -6.07%E -4.78%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +7.79%E +1.88%K +2.48%G +0.193%2.9%2026-05-28 11:38
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV +7.27%E +1.76%K +2.33%G +0.169%6.2%2026-05-28 11:39
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV +7.27%E +1.76%K +2.33%G +0.169%6.2%2026-05-28 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%4.4%2026-05-28 11:29
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%4.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.0%2026-05-28 11:31
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.7%2026-05-28 11:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.7%2026-05-28 11:31
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:29
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%6.3%2026-05-28 11:39
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.86%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.14%EV +3.10%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033%4.6%2026-05-28 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +2.84%E +0.720%K +0.964%G +0.027%6.0%2026-05-28 11:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +2.06%E +0.526%K +0.706%G +0.015%5.5%2026-05-28 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.06%E -0.280%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 11:34
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.06%E -0.280%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 11:33
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.860%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 11:33
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:35
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.05%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 11:40
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.33%E -4.16%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 11:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 11:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 11:39
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.87%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 11:38
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 11:39
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 11:39
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 11:40
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 11:38
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -0.889%E -0.663%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 11:39
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 11:39
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.29%E -6.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -19.29%E -6.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -0.149%E -0.110%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:39
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -21.89%E -7.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:39
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -21.89%E -7.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -0.149%E -0.110%K -0.425%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -0.889%E -0.663%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 11:39
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +4.29%E +3.04%K +10.46%G +0.449%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -24.76%E -8.57%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -25.80%E -9.05%K -13.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -25.80%E -9.05%K -13.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-28 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-28 11:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-28 11:40
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%3.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%8.0%2026-05-28 11:40