La escuela de los momios

Diana Shnaider v McCartney Kessler

Inicio: 2026-05-28 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Predicción 73.96%1.35momio equitativo
EV +4.29%
Ventaja +3.04%
Kelly +10.46%
Crecimiento +0.449%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.21%73.57%73.46%78.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.301.301.4182.64%77.14%76.92%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

McCartney Kessler (Visitante)

Predicción 26.04%3.84momio equitativo
EV +15.86%
Ventaja +3.56%
Kelly +4.60%
Crecimiento +0.729%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.38%26.43%26.54%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.533.524.4535.09%28.36%28.41%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -10.50%E -8.68%K -50.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +15.86%E +3.56%K +4.60%G +0.729%5.1%2026-05-28 11:32
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +11.96%E +2.78%K +3.62%G +0.433%3.9%2026-05-28 11:30
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%3.2%2026-05-28 11:30
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%5.1%2026-05-28 11:33
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%5.1%2026-05-28 11:29
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.05%E +1.94%K +2.56%G +0.206%4.7%2026-05-28 11:29
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -6.07%E -4.78%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +7.79%E +1.88%K +2.48%G +0.193%2.9%2026-05-28 11:38
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV +7.27%E +1.76%K +2.33%G +0.169%6.2%2026-05-28 11:39
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV +7.27%E +1.76%K +2.33%G +0.169%6.2%2026-05-28 11:39
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%4.4%2026-05-28 11:29
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%4.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.0%2026-05-28 11:31
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.7%2026-05-28 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.7%2026-05-28 11:31
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:29
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:39
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%6.3%2026-05-28 11:39
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.86%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.14%EV +3.10%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033%4.6%2026-05-28 11:29
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +2.84%E +0.720%K +0.964%G +0.027%6.0%2026-05-28 11:31
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +2.06%E +0.526%K +0.706%G +0.015%5.5%2026-05-28 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.06%E -0.280%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 11:34
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.06%E -0.280%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 11:33
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.860%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 11:33
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:35
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.05%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 11:40
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.33%E -4.16%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 11:38
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 11:39
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 11:39
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.87%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 11:38
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 11:39
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 11:39
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 11:40
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 11:38
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -0.889%E -0.663%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 11:39
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 11:39
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.29%E -6.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -19.29%E -6.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -0.149%E -0.110%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:39
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -21.89%E -7.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:39
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -21.89%E -7.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:40
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -0.149%E -0.110%K -0.425%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -0.889%E -0.663%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 11:39
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 11:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +4.29%E +3.04%K +10.46%G +0.449%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -24.76%E -8.57%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -25.80%E -9.05%K -13.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -25.80%E -9.05%K -13.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-28 11:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-28 11:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-28 11:40
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%3.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%8.0%2026-05-28 11:40