L’École des cotes

Diana Shnaider v McCartney Kessler

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prévision 73.96%1.35cote équitable
EV +4.29%
Avantage +3.04%
Kelly +10.46%
Croissance +0.449%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.21%73.57%73.46%78.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.301.301.4182.64%77.14%76.92%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

McCartney Kessler (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.04%3.84cote équitable
EV +15.86%
Avantage +3.56%
Kelly +4.60%
Croissance +0.729%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%26.43%26.54%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.533.524.4535.09%28.36%28.41%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -10.50%E -8.68%K -50.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +15.86%E +3.56%K +4.60%G +0.729%5.1%2026-05-28 11:32
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +11.96%E +2.78%K +3.62%G +0.433%3.9%2026-05-28 11:30
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%3.2%2026-05-28 11:30
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%5.1%2026-05-28 11:33
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +9.35%E +2.23%K +2.92%G +0.273%5.1%2026-05-28 11:29
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.05%E +1.94%K +2.56%G +0.206%4.7%2026-05-28 11:29
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -6.07%E -4.78%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +7.79%E +1.88%K +2.48%G +0.193%2.9%2026-05-28 11:38
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV +7.27%E +1.76%K +2.33%G +0.169%6.2%2026-05-28 11:39
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV +7.27%E +1.76%K +2.33%G +0.169%6.2%2026-05-28 11:39
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%4.4%2026-05-28 11:29
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%4.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.0%2026-05-28 11:31
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.7%2026-05-28 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +6.75%E +1.65%K +2.18%G +0.147%5.7%2026-05-28 11:31
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:29
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:39
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%5.0%2026-05-28 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -9.02%E -7.34%K -39.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +4.14%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.057%6.3%2026-05-28 11:39
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.86%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.14%EV +3.10%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033%4.6%2026-05-28 11:29
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +2.84%E +0.720%K +0.964%G +0.027%6.0%2026-05-28 11:31
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -7.55%E -6.04%K -30.18%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +2.06%E +0.526%K +0.706%G +0.015%5.5%2026-05-28 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.06%E -0.280%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 11:34
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.81%E -5.40%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.06%E -0.280%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 11:33
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.860%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 11:33
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:36
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.59%E -3.56%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:35
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.05%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 11:40
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.33%E -4.16%K -19.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 11:38
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 11:39
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 11:39
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.87%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 11:38
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 11:39
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 11:39
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.11%E -2.37%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 11:40
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 11:38
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -0.889%E -0.663%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 11:39
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 11:39
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.63%E -1.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.29%E -6.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -19.29%E -6.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 11:39
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.07%E +1.50%K +5.45%G +0.113%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -0.149%E -0.110%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -20.59%E -6.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:39
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -21.89%E -7.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:39
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -21.89%E -7.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 11:40
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV +0.591%E +0.434%K +1.64%G +0.010%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 11:39
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -0.149%E -0.110%K -0.425%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -0.889%E -0.663%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 11:39
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -23.19%E -7.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 11:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +4.29%E +3.04%K +10.46%G +0.449%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -24.76%E -8.57%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -2.37%E -1.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -25.80%E -9.05%K -13.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -3.85%E -2.96%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -25.80%E -9.05%K -13.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-28 11:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-28 11:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-28 11:40
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%3.5%2026-05-28 11:40
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%8.0%2026-05-28 11:40