Language:English
Antonia Ruzic v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Antonia Ruzic (Local)
Prediction 17.36%5.76fair odd
EV +13.38%
Edge +2.05%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.324%
assuming max odds 6.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.86%17.60%16.79%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.275.106.5322.73%18.98%19.61%15.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 82.64%1.21fair odd
EV -0.835%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%82.40%83.21%85.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.141.2090.91%87.20%87.72%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Antonia Ruzic (Local): 17.36%; Madison Keys (Visit): 82.64%. For Antonia Ruzic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.76. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.86%EV +13.38%E +2.05%K +2.42%G +0.324% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +11.12%E +1.74%K +2.06%G +0.229% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.29I 15.90%NM 15.23%EV +9.21%E +1.46%K +1.74%G +0.160% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.77%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +5.04%E +0.834%K +0.999%G +0.050% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +5.04%E +0.834%K +0.999%G +0.050% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 15:37 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.10%E -8.27%K -90.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV +2.61%E +0.442%K +0.532%G +0.014% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.703%E +0.121%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +0.703%E +0.121%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 16:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.77%E -0.495%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.77%E -0.495%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -8.15%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 15:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.85%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.45%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -12.49%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -12.49%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.92%E -3.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.92%E -3.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -15.79%E -3.26%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 16:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.14%E -3.57%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.14%E -3.57%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -0.835%E -0.696%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%EV -8.27%E -7.45%K -75.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -20.13%E -4.38%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -0.835%E -0.696%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 16:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.60%E -5.36%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.60%E -5.36%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 1.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 3.3% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 5.21I 19.19%NM 17.56% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.44% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 16:08 |