La escuela de los momios

Antonia Ruzic v Madison Keys

Inicio: 2026-05-28 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Predicción 17.36%5.76momio equitativo
EV +13.38%
Ventaja +2.05%
Kelly +2.42%
Crecimiento +0.324%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.86%17.60%16.79%21.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.275.106.5322.73%18.98%19.61%15.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Predicción 82.64%1.21momio equitativo
EV -0.835%
Ventaja -0.696%
Kelly -4.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.85%82.40%83.21%85.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.151.141.2090.91%87.20%87.72%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle6.53I 15.31%NM 14.86%EV +13.38%E +2.05%K +2.42%G +0.324%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-28 15:39
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +11.12%E +1.74%K +2.06%G +0.229%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 15:34
DraftKings6.29I 15.90%NM 15.23%EV +9.21%E +1.46%K +1.74%G +0.160%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.77%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 16:10
BetOnline.ag6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +5.04%E +0.834%K +0.999%G +0.050%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 15:39
LowVig.ag6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +5.04%E +0.834%K +0.999%G +0.050%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 15:39
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-28 15:39
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 15:39
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 15:39
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 15:39
NetBet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 15:37
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.10%E -8.27%K -90.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 16:10
GTbets5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV +2.61%E +0.442%K +0.532%G +0.014%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 15:39
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.703%E +0.121%K +0.147%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 16:10
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +0.703%E +0.121%K +0.147%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 16:10
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 15:39
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 16:06
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.77%E -0.495%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:39
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.77%E -0.495%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:39
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 16:10
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 15:34
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 16:10
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:10
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:10
1xBet5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -8.15%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 15:59
BetAnything5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.85%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 16:04
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.45%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 16:10
NordicBet5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -12.49%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 16:09
Betsson5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -12.49%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 16:09
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 16:05
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:09
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:09
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:10
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:09
Fliff5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.92%E -3.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-28 16:10
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.92%E -3.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 16:09
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -15.79%E -3.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 16:03
TAB4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 16:09
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.14%E -3.57%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 16:09
Bally Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.14%E -3.57%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 16:09
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 16:10
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 16:10
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 16:10
MyBookie.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -0.835%E -0.696%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 16:09
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-28 16:09
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%EV -8.27%E -7.45%K -75.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-28 16:10
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -20.13%E -4.38%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -0.835%E -0.696%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 16:09
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:08
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:09
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:09
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 16:09
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 16:09
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.60%E -5.36%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.60%E -5.36%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-05-28 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-05-28 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%3.3%2026-05-28 16:10
Novig5.21I 19.19%NM 17.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.44%9.3%2026-05-28 16:08