L’École des cotes

Antonia Ruzic v Madison Keys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Prévision 17.36%5.76cote équitable
EV +13.38%
Avantage +2.05%
Kelly +2.42%
Croissance +0.324%

avec la cote maximale 6.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.86%17.60%16.79%21.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.275.106.5322.73%18.98%19.61%15.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 82.64%1.21cote équitable
EV -0.835%
Avantage -0.696%
Kelly -4.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.85%82.40%83.21%85.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.151.141.2090.91%87.20%87.72%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle6.53I 15.31%NM 14.86%EV +13.38%E +2.05%K +2.42%G +0.324%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-28 15:39
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +11.12%E +1.74%K +2.06%G +0.229%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 15:34
DraftKings6.29I 15.90%NM 15.23%EV +9.21%E +1.46%K +1.74%G +0.160%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.77%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 16:10
BetOnline.ag6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +5.04%E +0.834%K +0.999%G +0.050%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 15:39
LowVig.ag6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +5.04%E +0.834%K +0.999%G +0.050%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 15:39
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-28 15:39
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 15:39
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 15:39
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 15:39
NetBet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 15:37
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +4.18%E +0.696%K +0.835%G +0.035%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.10%E -8.27%K -90.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 16:10
GTbets5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV +2.61%E +0.442%K +0.532%G +0.014%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 15:39
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.703%E +0.121%K +0.147%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 16:10
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +0.703%E +0.121%K +0.147%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 16:10
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 15:39
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 16:06
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.165%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.77%E -0.495%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:39
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.77%E -0.495%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:39
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 16:10
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 15:34
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 16:10
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.51%E -0.819%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:10
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.24%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:10
1xBet5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -8.15%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 15:59
BetAnything5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.85%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 16:04
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.45%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 16:10
NordicBet5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -12.49%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 16:09
Betsson5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -12.49%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 16:09
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 16:05
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:09
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 16:09
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:10
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:10
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.79%E -5.08%K -41.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:09
Fliff5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.19%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.92%E -3.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.62%E -5.86%K -50.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-28 16:10
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.92%E -3.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.45%E -6.65%K -62.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 16:09
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -15.79%E -3.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 16:03
TAB4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 16:09
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.14%E -3.57%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 16:09
Bally Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.14%E -3.57%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 16:09
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 16:10
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 16:10
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.53%E -3.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 16:10
MyBookie.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -0.835%E -0.696%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 16:09
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-28 16:09
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -18.40%E -3.91%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%EV -8.27%E -7.45%K -75.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-28 16:10
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -20.13%E -4.38%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -0.835%E -0.696%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 16:09
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:08
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:09
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.31%E -2.83%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 16:09
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 16:09
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.87%E -4.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -4.97%E -4.32%K -33.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 16:09
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.60%E -5.36%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -23.60%E -5.36%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.49%E -2.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-05-28 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-05-28 16:10
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-05-28 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%3.3%2026-05-28 16:10
Novig5.21I 19.19%NM 17.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.44%9.3%2026-05-28 16:08