Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Kalinskaya v Maja Chwalinska

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Prediction 55.78%1.79fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.30%55.93%55.70%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.47%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maja Chwalinska (Visit)

Prediction 44.22%2.26fair odd
EV -0.512%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.410%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.07%44.30%46.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.152.152.2549.50%46.60%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 55.78%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 44.22%. For Maja Chwalinska (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.512%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.47%E -4.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 08:50
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.36%E -4.56%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 08:49
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.68%E -5.29%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.38%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.61%E -1.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 08:50
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.38%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.36%E -4.56%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.84%E -0.828%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 08:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 08:50
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 08:49
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -8.47%E -4.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 07:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.17%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:49
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:49
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 07:39
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:50
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.512%E -0.228%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 08:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 07:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 07:40
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 08:49
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 07:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.512%E -0.228%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 08:20
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 05:47
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 05:50
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 05:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:50
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.40%E -4.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.61%E -1.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-03 08:50
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-03 08:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-06-03 08:50
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-06-03 08:50