L’École des cotes

Anna Kalinskaya v Maja Chwalinska

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-03 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Prévision 55.78%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.714%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.30%55.93%55.70%57.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.47%58.48%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Maja Chwalinska (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.22%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.512%
Avantage -0.228%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.60%44.07%44.30%46.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.152.152.2549.50%46.60%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 08:50
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.47%E -4.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 08:50
TAB1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.36%E -4.56%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 08:49
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.68%E -5.29%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.38%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.61%E -1.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 08:50
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.38%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.36%E -4.56%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.84%E -0.828%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 08:50
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 08:50
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 08:49
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 08:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:49
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -8.47%E -4.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 07:40
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.17%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 08:50
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:49
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:49
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 07:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 07:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:50
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.512%E -0.228%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 08:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 07:40
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 08:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 07:40
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 08:50
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 08:49
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:20
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 07:50
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.512%E -0.228%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 08:29
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 08:20
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 05:47
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 05:50
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 05:20
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:50
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.40%E -4.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.61%E -1.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-03 08:50
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-03 08:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-06-03 08:50
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-06-03 08:50