La escuela de los momios

Anna Kalinskaya v Maja Chwalinska

Inicio: 2026-06-03 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Predicción 55.78%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.714%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.30%55.93%55.70%57.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.47%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Maja Chwalinska (Visitante)

Predicción 44.22%2.26momio equitativo
EV -0.512%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.410%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%44.07%44.30%46.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.152.152.2549.50%46.60%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 08:50
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.47%E -4.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 08:50
TAB1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.36%E -4.56%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 08:49
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.26%E -0.714%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.68%E -5.29%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.38%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.61%E -1.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 08:50
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.38%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.36%E -4.56%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.84%E -0.828%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 08:50
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.94%E -1.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 08:50
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 08:49
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 08:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:49
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 08:50
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -3.50%E -2.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -8.47%E -4.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 07:40
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.17%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 08:50
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:49
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:49
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 07:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 07:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:50
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.512%E -0.228%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 08:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 07:40
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 08:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 07:40
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 08:50
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 08:49
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 08:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:20
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 07:50
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.93%E -2.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.512%E -0.228%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 08:29
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 08:20
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 05:47
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 05:50
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 05:20
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:40
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 07:50
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.14%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.40%E -4.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.61%E -1.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-03 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-03 08:50
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-03 08:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-06-03 08:50
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-06-03 08:50