Language:English
Alycia Parks v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alycia Parks (Local)
Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV +8.28%
Edge +1.84%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.196%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%23.88%24.18%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.964.004.5028.57%25.24%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 75.94%1.32fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%76.12%75.82%78.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.241.241.3084.75%80.91%80.65%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 24.06%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 75.94%. For Alycia Parks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.28%E +1.84%K +2.37%G +0.196% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +5.87%E +1.33%K +1.73%G +0.101% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.24%EV +5.15%E +1.18%K +1.53%G +0.079% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.76%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.19%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.053% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.19%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.053% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.26%E +0.533%K +0.696%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV +2.26%E +0.533%K +0.696%G +0.016% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -10.39%E -8.81%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.06%E +0.252%K +0.331%G +0.004% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.06%E +0.252%K +0.331%G +0.004% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.098%E +0.024%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.098%E +0.024%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 18:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -2.31%E -0.569%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 17:47 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.96%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.68%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.08%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.75%EV -10.01%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -10.39%E -8.81%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.28%E -0.985%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.28%E -0.985%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.51% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.49% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.25% | 14.4% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |