L’École des cotes

Alycia Parks v Leylah Fernandez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 18:33 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prévision 24.06%4.16cote équitable
EV +8.28%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.196%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.19%23.88%24.18%27.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.964.004.5028.57%25.24%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.94%1.32cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.985%
Kelly -4.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.92%76.12%75.82%78.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.241.241.3084.75%80.91%80.65%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.28%E +1.84%K +2.37%G +0.196%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 18:30
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +5.87%E +1.33%K +1.73%G +0.101%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 18:28
Pinnacle4.37I 22.88%NM 22.24%EV +5.15%E +1.18%K +1.53%G +0.079%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.76%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 18:20
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.19%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:30
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.19%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:30
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.26%E +0.533%K +0.696%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:30
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV +2.26%E +0.533%K +0.696%G +0.016%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -10.39%E -8.81%K -57.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:30
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.06%E +0.252%K +0.331%G +0.004%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 18:30
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.06%E +0.252%K +0.331%G +0.004%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 18:30
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.098%E +0.024%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 18:20
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.098%E +0.024%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 18:20
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 18:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 18:29
NordicBet4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -2.31%E -0.569%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:30
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:29
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:29
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 17:47
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:29
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:29
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 18:29
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:29
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:29
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:29
Fliff4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 18:30
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.96%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.68%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:19
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 18:30
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 18:29
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 18:29
DraftKings3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.08%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 18:30
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:29
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:00
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 18:29
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:30
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:30
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 18:29
Betsson3.74I 26.74%NM 24.75%EV -10.01%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 18:29
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:29
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 18:30
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -10.39%E -8.81%K -57.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-25 18:30
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:29
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.28%E -0.985%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.28%E -0.985%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-25 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-25 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-05-25 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-05-25 18:30
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 21.51%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.49%8.9%2026-05-25 18:30
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.25%14.4%2026-05-25 18:30