La escuela de los momios

Alycia Parks v Leylah Fernandez

Inicio: 2026-05-25 18:33 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV +8.28%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +2.37%
Crecimiento +0.196%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.19%23.88%24.18%27.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.964.004.5028.57%25.24%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Predicción 75.94%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.985%
Kelly -4.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%76.12%75.82%78.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.241.241.3084.75%80.91%80.65%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.28%E +1.84%K +2.37%G +0.196%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 18:30
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +5.87%E +1.33%K +1.73%G +0.101%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 18:28
Pinnacle4.37I 22.88%NM 22.24%EV +5.15%E +1.18%K +1.53%G +0.079%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.76%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 18:20
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +4.67%E +1.07%K +1.39%G +0.065%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.19%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:30
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.19%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:30
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.26%E +0.533%K +0.696%G +0.016%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:30
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV +2.26%E +0.533%K +0.696%G +0.016%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -10.39%E -8.81%K -57.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 18:30
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.06%E +0.252%K +0.331%G +0.004%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 18:30
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +1.06%E +0.252%K +0.331%G +0.004%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.11%E -6.71%K -38.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 18:30
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.098%E +0.024%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 18:20
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.098%E +0.024%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 18:20
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 18:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 18:29
NordicBet4.06I 24.63%NM 22.81%EV -2.31%E -0.569%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.19%EV -8.87%E -7.40%K -44.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:30
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:00
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:29
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:29
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 17:47
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:29
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:29
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 18:29
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:29
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:29
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:29
Fliff4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 18:30
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.96%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:10
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.68%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:19
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 18:30
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 18:29
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 18:29
DraftKings3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.08%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 18:30
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:29
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:00
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 18:29
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:30
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:30
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 18:29
Betsson3.74I 26.74%NM 24.75%EV -10.01%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 18:29
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.63%E -8.10%K -50.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:29
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 18:30
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -10.39%E -8.81%K -57.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-25 18:30
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:29
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.28%E -0.985%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.28%E -0.985%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-25 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-25 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-05-25 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-05-25 18:30
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 21.51%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.49%8.9%2026-05-25 18:30
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.25%14.4%2026-05-25 18:30