Language:English
Alina Korneeva v Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alina Korneeva (Local)
Prediction 46.00%2.17fair odd
EV +31.11%
Edge +10.92%
Kelly +16.82%
Growth +5.23%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%44.03%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.252.032.8554.05%44.44%49.26%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit)
Prediction 54.00%1.85fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +3.44%
Growth +0.108%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%55.97%52.00%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.671.731.9170.42%59.99%57.97%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alina Korneeva (Local): 46.00%; Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit): 54.00%. For Alina Korneeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV +31.11%E +10.92%K +16.82%G +5.23% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.11%E +10.92%K +16.82%G +5.23% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.33%E -16.43%K -55.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 14:32 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +28.81%E +10.29%K +16.01%G +4.61% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +28.35%E +10.16%K +15.84%G +4.49% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +27.43%E +9.90%K +15.50%G +4.25% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -22.25%E -15.45%K -50.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -22.79%E -15.93%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +25.13%E +9.24%K +14.61%G +3.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +25.13%E +9.24%K +14.61%G +3.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 14:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 14:26 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +20.07%E +7.69%K +12.47%G +2.50% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -19.01%E -12.67%K -38.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.67%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.83%E -5.88%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.83%E -5.88%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -11.45%E -6.98%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 14:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -7.53%E -3.75%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -9.83%E -5.02%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -0.107%E -0.058%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +3.13%E +1.64%K +3.44%G +0.108% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.97%E -7.47%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.973%E +0.520%K +1.12%G +0.011% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -14.43%E -7.76%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -14.89%E -8.05%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.4% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 14:40 |