La escuela de los momios

Alina Korneeva v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Inicio: 2026-05-26 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Predicción 46.00%2.17momio equitativo
EV +31.11%
Ventaja +10.92%
Kelly +16.82%
Crecimiento +5.23%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.26%44.03%48.00%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.252.032.8554.05%44.44%49.26%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visitante)

Predicción 54.00%1.85momio equitativo
EV +3.13%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +3.44%
Crecimiento +0.108%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%55.97%52.00%66.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.671.731.9170.42%59.99%57.97%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV +31.11%E +10.92%K +16.82%G +5.23%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 14:10
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.11%E +10.92%K +16.82%G +5.23%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.33%E -16.43%K -55.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 14:32
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +28.81%E +10.29%K +16.01%G +4.61%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 14:09
SportsBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +28.35%E +10.16%K +15.84%G +4.49%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 14:09
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +27.43%E +9.90%K +15.50%G +4.25%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 14:09
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 14:10
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 14:09
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:09
MyBookie.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:19
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -22.25%E -15.45%K -50.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 14:09
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -22.79%E -15.93%K -52.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 14:10
BetAnything2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +25.13%E +9.24%K +14.61%G +3.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 14:10
Bet Right2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +25.13%E +9.24%K +14.61%G +3.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:09
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:09
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:10
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 13:59
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 14:03
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:10
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:10
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:26
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +20.07%E +7.69%K +12.47%G +2.50%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -19.01%E -12.67%K -38.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:09
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.67%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.83%E -5.88%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.83%E -5.88%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -11.45%E -6.98%K -17.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 14:37
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 14:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 14:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 14:40
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -7.53%E -3.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -9.83%E -5.02%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -0.107%E -0.058%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:40
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 14:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 14:39
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +3.13%E +1.64%K +3.44%G +0.108%4.7%2026-05-26 14:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 14:40
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 14:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 14:40
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.97%E -7.47%K -16.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.973%E +0.520%K +1.12%G +0.011%7.0%2026-05-26 14:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -14.43%E -7.76%K -16.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-26 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -14.89%E -8.05%K -17.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%4.6%2026-05-26 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%5.1%2026-05-26 14:40
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%6.2%2026-05-26 14:40