L’École des cotes

Alina Korneeva v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Prévision 46.00%2.17cote équitable
EV +31.11%
Avantage +10.92%
Kelly +16.82%
Croissance +5.23%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.26%44.03%48.00%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.252.032.8554.05%44.44%49.26%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.00%1.85cote équitable
EV +3.13%
Avantage +1.64%
Kelly +3.44%
Croissance +0.108%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%55.97%52.00%66.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.671.731.9170.42%59.99%57.97%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV +31.11%E +10.92%K +16.82%G +5.23%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 14:10
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.11%E +10.92%K +16.82%G +5.23%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.33%E -16.43%K -55.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 14:32
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +28.81%E +10.29%K +16.01%G +4.61%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 14:09
SportsBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV +28.35%E +10.16%K +15.84%G +4.49%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 14:09
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +27.43%E +9.90%K +15.50%G +4.25%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 14:09
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 14:10
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 14:09
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:09
MyBookie.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:19
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -22.25%E -15.45%K -50.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 14:09
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +26.51%E +9.64%K +15.15%G +4.02%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -22.79%E -15.93%K -52.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 14:10
BetAnything2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +25.13%E +9.24%K +14.61%G +3.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 14:10
Bet Right2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +25.13%E +9.24%K +14.61%G +3.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:09
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:09
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -20.63%E -14.03%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:10
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 13:59
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +24.21%E +8.97%K +14.24%G +3.45%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -21.71%E -14.97%K -48.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 14:03
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:10
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -20.09%E -13.57%K -41.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:10
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +21.91%E +8.27%K +13.28%G +2.91%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -21.17%E -14.50%K -46.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:26
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +20.07%E +7.69%K +12.47%G +2.50%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -19.01%E -12.67%K -38.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:09
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.67%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.83%E -5.88%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.83%E -5.88%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -11.45%E -6.98%K -17.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 14:37
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 14:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 14:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 14:40
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -7.53%E -3.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -9.83%E -5.02%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -0.107%E -0.058%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:40
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 14:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 14:39
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +3.13%E +1.64%K +3.44%G +0.108%4.7%2026-05-26 14:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 14:40
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 14:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.59%E -6.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 14:40
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.97%E -7.47%K -16.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.973%E +0.520%K +1.12%G +0.011%7.0%2026-05-26 14:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -14.43%E -7.76%K -16.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-26 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -14.89%E -8.05%K -17.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -1.19%E -0.649%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%4.6%2026-05-26 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%5.1%2026-05-26 14:40
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%6.2%2026-05-26 14:40