Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.30
assuming max odds 1.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Akasha Urhobo (Local): 21.30%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 78.70%. For Akasha Urhobo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.90%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +10.18%E +7.27%K +25.45%G +2.59% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -31.62%E -9.85%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -34.39%E -11.17%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -34.39%E -11.17%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -33.97%E -10.96%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -35.03%E -11.49%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -35.03%E -11.49%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +7.82%E +5.71%K +21.13%G +1.65% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -26.51%E -7.68%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV +0.734%E +0.574%K +2.62%G +0.019% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:57 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.99%E -3.27%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.77%E -3.95%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.38%E +0.893%K +1.12%G +0.049% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.65%EV -9.04%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.35%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +11.83%E +2.25%K +2.78%G +0.329% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +2.25%E +0.468%K +0.591%G +0.013% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.71%E -7.51%K -54.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 16:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV +4.59%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.054% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +2.25%E +0.468%K +0.591%G +0.013% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.73% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.27% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 17:00 |