La escuela de los momios

Akasha Urhobo v Katie Boulter

Inicio: 2026-05-25 17:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Akasha Urhobo (Local)

Predicción 21.30%4.69momio equitativo
EV +12.90%
Ventaja +2.43%
Kelly +3.00%
Crecimiento +0.387%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.70%22.19%21.27%31.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.004.294.505.3033.33%23.30%22.22%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Katie Boulter (Visitante)

Predicción 78.70%1.27momio equitativo
EV +10.18%
Ventaja +7.27%
Kelly +25.45%
Crecimiento +2.59%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%77.81%78.73%82.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.221.191.4087.72%82.27%84.03%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +10.18%E +7.27%K +25.45%G +2.59%4.8%2026-05-25 16:30
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -31.62%E -9.85%K -14.31%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26%3.1%2026-05-25 16:40
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -34.39%E -11.17%K -16.53%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26%4.4%2026-05-25 15:10
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -34.39%E -11.17%K -16.53%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26%4.4%2026-05-25 15:10
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26%5.3%2026-05-25 16:09
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -33.97%E -10.96%K -16.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95%4.7%2026-05-25 16:50
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -35.03%E -11.49%K -17.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -35.03%E -11.49%K -17.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +7.82%E +5.71%K +21.13%G +1.65%6.3%2026-05-25 15:50
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -26.51%E -7.68%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV +0.734%E +0.574%K +2.62%G +0.019%7.1%2026-05-25 16:57
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.99%E -3.27%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 16:59
DraftKings4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.77%E -3.95%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 17:00
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:00
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 17:00
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 17:00
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 17:00
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 17:00
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.38%E +0.893%K +1.12%G +0.049%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:00
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 16:59
Betsson4.27I 23.42%NM 21.65%EV -9.04%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.35%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 17:00
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +11.83%E +2.25%K +2.78%G +0.329%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 17:00
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +2.25%E +0.468%K +0.591%G +0.013%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:59
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 17:00
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 16:59
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 17:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 17:00
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.71%E -7.51%K -54.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 16:58
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 17:00
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 16:59
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 17:00
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 17:00
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00
Bally Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00
NordicBet4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV +4.59%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.054%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 17:00
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +2.25%E +0.468%K +0.591%G +0.013%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 17:00
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-05-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%3.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00
Novig5.29I 18.90%NM 17.73%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.27%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00