L’École des cotes

Akasha Urhobo v Katie Boulter

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 17:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Akasha Urhobo (Local)

Prévision 21.30%4.69cote équitable
EV +12.90%
Avantage +2.43%
Kelly +3.00%
Croissance +0.387%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.70%22.19%21.27%31.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.004.294.505.3033.33%23.30%22.22%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Katie Boulter (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.70%1.27cote équitable
EV +10.18%
Avantage +7.27%
Kelly +25.45%
Croissance +2.59%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%77.81%78.73%82.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.221.191.4087.72%82.27%84.03%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +10.18%E +7.27%K +25.45%G +2.59%4.8%2026-05-25 16:30
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -31.62%E -9.85%K -14.31%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26%3.1%2026-05-25 16:40
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -34.39%E -11.17%K -16.53%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26%4.4%2026-05-25 15:10
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -34.39%E -11.17%K -16.53%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26%4.4%2026-05-25 15:10
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +9.39%E +6.76%K +24.08%G +2.26%5.3%2026-05-25 16:09
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -33.97%E -10.96%K -16.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95%4.7%2026-05-25 16:50
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -35.03%E -11.49%K -17.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -35.03%E -11.49%K -17.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +8.60%E +6.23%K +22.64%G +1.95%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -36.10%E -12.03%K -18.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +7.82%E +5.71%K +21.13%G +1.65%6.3%2026-05-25 15:50
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -26.51%E -7.68%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV +0.734%E +0.574%K +2.62%G +0.019%7.1%2026-05-25 16:57
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.99%E -3.27%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 16:59
DraftKings4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.77%E -3.95%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 17:00
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 17:00
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 17:00
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 17:00
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 17:00
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 17:00
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.116%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.38%E +0.893%K +1.12%G +0.049%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:00
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.27%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 16:59
Betsson4.27I 23.42%NM 21.65%EV -9.04%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.35%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 17:00
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +11.83%E +2.25%K +2.78%G +0.329%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 17:00
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +2.25%E +0.468%K +0.591%G +0.013%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:59
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 17:00
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.01%E -0.438%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 16:59
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 17:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 17:00
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.34%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.14%E -0.921%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.71%E -7.51%K -54.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 16:58
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 17:00
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 16:59
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.18%E +0.249%K +0.315%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 17:00
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 17:00
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00
Bally Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +12.90%E +2.43%K +3.00%G +0.387%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00
NordicBet4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV +4.59%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.054%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 17:00
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +2.25%E +0.468%K +0.591%G +0.013%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 17:00
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.53%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-05-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%3.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00
Novig5.29I 18.90%NM 17.73%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.27%6.6%2026-05-25 17:00