Language:English
Ajla Tomljanovic v Caty McNally
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)
Prediction 29.63%3.37fair odd
EV +0.752%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.313%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.66%29.82%31.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.153.4033.33%31.59%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Caty McNally (Visit)
Prediction 70.37%1.42fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.69%70.34%70.18%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.4076.92%73.86%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ajla Tomljanovic (Local): 29.63%; Caty McNally (Visit): 70.37%. For Ajla Tomljanovic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.752%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.752%E +0.221%K +0.313%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.752%E +0.221%K +0.313%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.52%E -6.56%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.84%EV -0.137%E -0.041%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -8.52%E -6.56%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.729%E -0.218%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.63%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.729%E -0.218%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -7.12%E -5.39%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -7.12%E -5.39%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -1.49%E -1.06%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 07:47 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -7.55%E -2.42%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.60%E -2.63%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 07:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 08:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.89%E -2.10%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.89%E -2.10%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |