La scuola delle quote

Ajla Tomljanovic v Caty McNally

Inizio: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ajla Tomljanovic (Casa)

Previsione 29.63%3.37quota equa
EV +0.752%
Vantaggio +0.221%
Kelly +0.313%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.66%29.66%29.82%31.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.173.153.4033.33%31.59%31.75%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Caty McNally (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.37%1.42quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -3.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.69%70.34%70.18%72.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.351.361.4076.92%73.86%73.53%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.752%E +0.221%K +0.313%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 07:40
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.752%E +0.221%K +0.313%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.52%E -6.56%K -28.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 13:50
GTbets3.37I 29.67%NM 27.84%EV -0.137%E -0.041%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -8.52%E -6.56%K -28.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 11:00
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.729%E -0.218%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 07:30
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.729%E -0.218%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 07:40
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 08:00
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 08:00
MyBookie.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:48
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 07:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 07:40
BetAnything3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 07:30
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:40
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 10:00
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 08:50
DraftKings3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 10:00
NordicBet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -7.12%E -5.39%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Betsson3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -7.12%E -5.39%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:40
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -1.49%E -1.06%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 07:40
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 07:40
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 07:47
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:29
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 08:00
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:30
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:40
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 07:40
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -7.55%E -2.42%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.60%E -2.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:30
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:20
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:40
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 10:46
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:29
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:09
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.89%E -2.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.89%E -2.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:40
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:40
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:39
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 07:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 07:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 07:39
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 07:40
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 07:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%3.4%2026-05-24 07:40