L’École des cotes

Ajla Tomljanovic v Caty McNally

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)

Prévision 29.63%3.37cote équitable
EV +0.752%
Avantage +0.221%
Kelly +0.313%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.66%29.66%29.82%31.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.153.4033.33%31.59%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Caty McNally (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.37%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -3.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.69%70.34%70.18%72.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.361.4076.92%73.86%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.752%E +0.221%K +0.313%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 07:40
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.752%E +0.221%K +0.313%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.52%E -6.56%K -28.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 13:50
GTbets3.37I 29.67%NM 27.84%EV -0.137%E -0.041%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -8.52%E -6.56%K -28.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 11:00
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.729%E -0.218%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.60%E -2.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 07:30
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.729%E -0.218%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 07:40
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 08:00
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 08:00
MyBookie.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:48
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 07:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.21%E -0.670%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 07:40
BetAnything3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 07:30
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:40
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 10:00
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 08:50
DraftKings3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 10:00
NordicBet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -7.12%E -5.39%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Betsson3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -7.12%E -5.39%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 07:40
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -1.49%E -1.06%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 07:40
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 07:40
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 07:47
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:29
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 08:00
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:30
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:40
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 07:40
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -7.55%E -2.42%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.60%E -2.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:30
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:20
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 07:40
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 10:46
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 07:29
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:09
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.89%E -2.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.89%E -2.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 07:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:40
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:40
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:39
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 07:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 07:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 07:39
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 07:40
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 07:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-24 08:40
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%3.4%2026-05-24 07:40