Language:English
Elina Svitolina v Jessica Pegula
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 39.59%2.53fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +0.978%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%39.91%39.47%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.402.5947.62%41.84%41.67%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visit)
Prediction 60.41%1.66fair odd
EV +6.93%
Edge +3.91%
Kelly +9.00%
Growth +0.623%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%60.09%60.53%63.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.541.7767.57%63.96%64.94%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 39.59%; Jessica Pegula (Visit): 60.41%. For Jessica Pegula (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +6.93%E +3.91%K +9.00%G +0.623% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.72%E +3.27%K +7.63%G +0.436% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 15:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -14.89%E -6.92%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +3.30%E +1.93%K +4.65%G +0.154% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.887%E +0.531%K +1.32%G +0.012% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -0.321%E -0.194%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.53%E -0.938%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 15:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 15:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 15:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -10.53%E -4.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 15:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 15:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 15:07 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:07 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV +2.53%E +0.978%K +1.59%G +0.040% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |