L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Jessica Pegula

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 39.59%2.53cote équitable
EV +2.53%
Avantage +0.978%
Kelly +1.59%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 2.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.83%39.91%39.47%45.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.392.402.5947.62%41.84%41.67%38.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.41%1.66cote équitable
EV +6.93%
Avantage +3.91%
Kelly +9.00%
Croissance +0.623%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%60.09%60.53%63.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.541.7767.57%63.96%64.94%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +6.93%E +3.91%K +9.00%G +0.623%4.1%2026-02-21 15:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.72%E +3.27%K +7.63%G +0.436%4.8%2026-02-21 15:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -14.89%E -6.92%K -12.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +3.30%E +1.93%K +4.65%G +0.154%5.0%2026-02-21 15:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.887%E +0.531%K +1.32%G +0.012%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -0.321%E -0.194%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-21 15:15
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.53%E -0.938%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:13
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 15:14
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 15:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:06
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:15
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 15:13
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -10.53%E -4.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 15:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:07
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:07
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:15
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:08
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:15
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 15:15
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:15
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:15
DraftKings2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV +2.53%E +0.978%K +1.59%G +0.040%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 15:15
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-02-21 15:15