La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Jessica Pegula

Inicio: 2026-02-21 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 39.59%2.53momio equitativo
EV +2.53%
Ventaja +0.978%
Kelly +1.59%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.83%39.91%39.47%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.392.402.5947.62%41.84%41.67%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jessica Pegula (Visitante)

Predicción 60.41%1.66momio equitativo
EV +6.93%
Ventaja +3.91%
Kelly +9.00%
Crecimiento +0.623%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%60.09%60.53%63.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.561.541.7767.57%63.96%64.94%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +6.93%E +3.91%K +9.00%G +0.623%4.1%2026-02-21 15:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.72%E +3.27%K +7.63%G +0.436%4.8%2026-02-21 15:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -14.89%E -6.92%K -12.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +3.30%E +1.93%K +4.65%G +0.154%5.0%2026-02-21 15:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.887%E +0.531%K +1.32%G +0.012%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -0.321%E -0.194%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-21 15:15
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.53%E -0.938%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:13
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 15:14
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 15:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:06
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:15
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 15:13
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -10.53%E -4.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 15:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:07
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:07
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:15
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:08
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:15
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 15:15
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 15:15
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.373%K +0.613%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:15
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:15
DraftKings2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV +2.53%E +0.978%K +1.59%G +0.040%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 15:15
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-02-21 15:15