Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xinyu Wang v Donna Vekic

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 15:06 UTC

Final: Xinyu Wang 2–1 Donna Vekic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prediction 55.19%1.81fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.25%55.30%56.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.701.7561.35%58.74%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Donna Vekic (Visit)

Prediction 44.81%2.23fair odd
EV -0.532%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.436%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.12%44.75%44.70%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.98%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 55.19%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 44.81%. For Donna Vekic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -0.532%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.32%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 11:44
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:59
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -0.980%E -0.443%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 11:19
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:49
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 11:39
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 09:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 10:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 09:29
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 09:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 09:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 10:34
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:09
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:09
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:57
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:34
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.532%E -0.239%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 15:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.532%E -0.239%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:05
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:09
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:15
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:59
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:53
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:03
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 11:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:10
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:38
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:39
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -10.03%E -6.16%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-16 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-16 15:05
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-16 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-16 15:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-08-16 15:05
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-08-16 15:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-08-16 15:05