Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang v Donna Vekic

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Predicción 52.58%1.90momio equitativo
EV -0.089%
Ventaja -0.047%
Kelly -0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%52.48%52.63%53.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.811.811.9058.48%55.37%55.40%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Predicción 47.42%2.11momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.894%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.65%47.52%47.37%48.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.871.981.982.0753.48%50.51%50.63%48.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Xinyu Wang (Local): 52.58%; Donna Vekic (Visitante): 47.42%. Para Xinyu Wang (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.902. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.900, con un valor esperado de -0.089%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.089%E -0.047%K -0.099%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.70%E -2.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 13:25
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.19%E -1.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.80%E -1.37%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 11:45
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.24%E -1.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.80%E -1.37%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.24%E -1.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 13:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:39
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.07%E -3.61%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.77%E -2.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.44%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 11:30
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 12:54
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.70%E -2.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 10:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:29
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.30%E -2.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:54
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -4.82%E -2.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -1.85%E -0.894%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 10:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.80%E -1.37%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 11:35
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 12:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:35
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:39
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:34
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.12%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 10:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.12%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 10:44
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.44%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 10:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.64%E -2.84%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -5.87%E -3.28%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.49%E -4.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.22%E -2.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.59%E -3.35%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:40
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.92%E -3.91%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.17%E -2.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:57
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.92%E -3.91%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:28
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.98%E -4.56%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.12%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.98%E -4.56%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 10:44
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.98%E -4.56%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 10:44
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.98%E -4.56%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:38
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.98%E -4.56%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.54%E -3.87%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:34
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.50%E -4.89%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.44%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -10.08%E -5.89%K -14.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -11.33%E -6.06%K -13.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 11:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-08-15 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-08-15 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-08-15 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-08-15 14:10
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-08-15 14:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.38%10.5%2026-08-15 11:20

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