Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang v Donna Vekic

Início: 2026-08-16 15:06 UTC

Final: Xinyu Wang 2–1 Donna Vekic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Previsão 55.19%1.81odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -1.95%
Kelly -4.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%55.25%55.30%56.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.701.701.7561.35%58.74%58.82%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Previsão 44.81%2.23odd justa
EV -0.532%
Vantagem -0.239%
Kelly -0.436%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.12%44.75%44.70%46.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.98%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Xinyu Wang (Local): 55.19%; Donna Vekic (Visitante): 44.81%. Para Donna Vekic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.23. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.22, com valor esperado de -0.532%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.32%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 11:44
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:59
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -0.980%E -0.443%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 11:19
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:49
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 11:39
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.12%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 09:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 10:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 09:29
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 09:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 09:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 10:34
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:09
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:09
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:57
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:34
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.532%E -0.239%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 15:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.532%E -0.239%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:05
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.56%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:09
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:15
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:59
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:53
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:03
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 11:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:10
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:38
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:39
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -10.03%E -6.16%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 11:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-16 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-16 15:05
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-16 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-16 15:00
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-08-16 15:05
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-08-16 15:05
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-08-16 15:05