Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tamara Korpatsch v Iva Jović

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 21:48 UTC

Final: Tamara Korpatsch 0–2 Iva Jović

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tamara Korpatsch (Local)

Prediction 11.82%8.46fair odd
EV +18.19%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.368%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.72%11.87%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.817.7210.0015.38%12.80%12.94%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iva Jović (Visit)

Prediction 88.18%1.13fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -43.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%88.28%88.13%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.081.0996.15%92.67%92.59%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tamara Korpatsch (Local): 11.82%; Iva Jović (Visit): 88.18%. For Tamara Korpatsch (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.46. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +18.19%E +1.82%K +2.02%G +0.368%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 21:24
1xBet🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +17.01%E +1.72%K +1.91%G +0.325%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 21:00
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +6.37%E +0.708%K +0.796%G +0.051%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 21:44
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +6.37%E +0.708%K +0.796%G +0.051%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 08:20
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 12:50
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 14:14
Pinnacle🎯8.27I 12.09%NM 11.65%EV -2.26%E -0.273%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.35%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 21:24
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -3.08%E -0.376%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.29%E -7.97%K -207.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV -4.27%E -0.527%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.38%E -0.542%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.38%E -0.542%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 13:35
ReBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:19
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 11:11
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:00
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:20
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:15
LeoVegas🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV -6.63%E -0.839%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 21:04
FanDuel🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:05
Fanatics🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 21:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 20:40
theScore Bet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 08:29
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:00
NordicBet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 21:39
Betsson🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 21:40
BetAnything🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.99%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 12:49
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
betPARX🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Bally Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:04
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:04
BetUS🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 20:19
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -13.72%E -1.88%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 13:59
Neds🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -7.41%E -7.06%K -148.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 21:33
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.27%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.27%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 20:50
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.18%E -3.57%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX8.30I 12.05%NM 11.98%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.02%0.5%2026-08-16 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Novig7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39%3.1%2026-08-16 21:35
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%3.1%2026-08-16 21:15