Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tamara Korpatsch v Iva Jović

Início: 2026-08-16 21:48 UTC

Final: Tamara Korpatsch 0–2 Iva Jović

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tamara Korpatsch (Local)

Previsão 11.82%8.46odd justa
EV +18.19%
Vantagem +1.82%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescimento +0.368%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.58%11.72%11.87%14.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.507.817.7210.0015.38%12.80%12.94%10.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iva Jović (Visitante)

Previsão 88.18%1.13odd justa
EV -3.88%
Vantagem -3.56%
Kelly -43.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.75%88.28%88.13%90.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.081.081.0996.15%92.67%92.59%91.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tamara Korpatsch (Local): 11.82%; Iva Jović (Visitante): 88.18%. Para Tamara Korpatsch (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.46. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +18.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +18.19%E +1.82%K +2.02%G +0.368%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 21:24
1xBet🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +17.01%E +1.72%K +1.91%G +0.325%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 21:00
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +6.37%E +0.708%K +0.796%G +0.051%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 21:44
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +6.37%E +0.708%K +0.796%G +0.051%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 08:20
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 12:50
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 14:14
Pinnacle🎯8.27I 12.09%NM 11.65%EV -2.26%E -0.273%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.35%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 21:24
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -3.08%E -0.376%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.29%E -7.97%K -207.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV -4.27%E -0.527%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.38%E -0.542%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.38%E -0.542%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 13:35
ReBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:19
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 11:11
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:00
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:20
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 19:15
LeoVegas🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV -6.63%E -0.839%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 21:04
FanDuel🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:05
Fanatics🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 21:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 20:40
theScore Bet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 08:29
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:00
NordicBet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 21:39
Betsson🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 21:40
BetAnything🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.99%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 12:49
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
betPARX🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Bally Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 20:50
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:04
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:04
BetUS🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 20:19
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -13.72%E -1.88%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 13:59
Neds🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -7.41%E -7.06%K -148.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 21:33
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.27%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.27%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 20:50
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.18%E -3.57%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎8.30I 12.05%NM 11.98%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.02%0.5%2026-08-16 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Matchbook◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-08-16 21:40
Novig◎7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39%3.1%2026-08-16 21:35
Smarkets◎8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%3.1%2026-08-16 21:15