Idioma:Español
Tamara Korpatsch v Iva Jović
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tamara Korpatsch (Local)
Predicción 11.82%8.46momio equitativo
EV +18.19%
Ventaja +1.82%
Kelly +2.02%
Crecimiento +0.368%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.58%11.72%11.87%14.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.817.7210.0015.38%12.80%12.94%10.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Iva Jović (Visitante)
Predicción 88.18%1.13momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -3.56%
Kelly -43.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.75%88.28%88.13%90.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.041.081.081.0996.15%92.67%92.59%91.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tamara Korpatsch (Local): 11.82%; Iva Jović (Visitante): 88.18%. Para Tamara Korpatsch (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.46. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +18.19%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +18.19%E +1.82%K +2.02%G +0.368% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +17.01%E +1.72%K +1.91%G +0.325% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +6.37%E +0.708%K +0.796%G +0.051% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +6.37%E +0.708%K +0.796%G +0.051% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.461%E +0.054%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.65%EV -2.26%E -0.273%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.35%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -3.08%E -0.376%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.29%E -7.97%K -207.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 12:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV -4.27%E -0.527%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.38%E -0.542%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.38%E -0.542%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:11 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.45%E -0.681%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.53%E -6.16%K -108.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV -6.63%E -0.839%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.81%E -1.00%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 21:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.40%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.99%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 12:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.36%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -13.72%E -1.88%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -14.31%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -7.41%E -7.06%K -148.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:33 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.27%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.27%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.65%E -5.28%K -80.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.18%E -3.57%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.98% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.02% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.39% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 21:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |