语言:简体中文
Marie Bouzkova v Lucrezia Stefanini
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marie Bouzkova (主队)
预测 78.09%1.28公平赔率
EV -0.045%
优势 -0.035%
Kelly -0.159%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.28
博彩公司预测分布
75.88%78.16%78.29%79.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.211.221.2885.47%82.45%81.97%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lucrezia Stefanini (客队)
预测 21.91%4.56公平赔率
EV +2.98%
优势 +0.633%
Kelly +0.804%
增长率 +0.024%
假设最高赔率为 4.70
博彩公司预测分布
20.61%21.84%21.71%24.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.284.254.7025.64%23.34%23.53%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marie Bouzkova (主队)：78.09%；Lucrezia Stefanini (客队)：21.91%。 对于“Lucrezia Stefanini (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.56。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.70，对应+2.98%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +2.98%E +0.633%K +0.804%G +0.024% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%EV +1.88%E +0.404%K +0.515%G +0.010% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.785%E +0.171%K +0.218%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.785%E +0.171%K +0.218%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 04:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.50%E -0.562%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.50%E -0.562%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.85%E -6.66%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 07:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.63%E -7.38%K -50.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 17:03 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 17:03 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 17:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 17:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.63%E -7.38%K -50.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 04:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 07:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -7.10%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.47%EV -0.045%E -0.035%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.53%EV -8.86%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.07%E -5.94%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 07:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 07:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.85%E -6.66%K -43.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 17:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |