Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova v Lucrezia Stefanini

Início: 2026-08-16 17:11 UTC

Final: Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Lucrezia Stefanini

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Previsão 78.09%1.28odd justa
EV -0.045%
Vantagem -0.035%
Kelly -0.159%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.88%78.16%78.29%79.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.211.221.2885.47%82.45%81.97%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante)

Previsão 21.91%4.56odd justa
EV +2.98%
Vantagem +0.633%
Kelly +0.804%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.61%21.84%21.71%24.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.284.254.7025.64%23.34%23.53%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 78.09%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante): 21.91%. Para Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.56. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.98%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +2.98%E +0.633%K +0.804%G +0.024%3.2%2026-08-16 08:20
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%EV +1.88%E +0.404%K +0.515%G +0.010%2.8%2026-08-16 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.785%E +0.171%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-16 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.785%E +0.171%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-16 04:34
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 17:10
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:04
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 07:44
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 04:34
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 04:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.50%E -0.562%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.50%E -0.562%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.85%E -6.66%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 07:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.63%E -7.38%K -50.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:55
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:04
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 07:44
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 17:04
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 16:34
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.63%E -7.38%K -50.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 04:34
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 07:54
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -7.10%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:35
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:30
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.47%EV -0.045%E -0.035%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.53%EV -8.86%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:40
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.07%E -5.94%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:10
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 07:23
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 07:45
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 07:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.85%E -6.66%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 17:08
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:05
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%2.8%2026-08-16 16:35
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-08-16 17:10