Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marie Bouzkova v Lucrezia Stefanini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 17:11 UTC

Score final : Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Lucrezia Stefanini

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prévision 78.09%1.28cote équitable
EV -0.045%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.159%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.88%78.16%78.29%79.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.221.2885.47%82.45%81.97%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.91%4.56cote équitable
EV +2.98%
Avantage +0.633%
Kelly +0.804%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.61%21.84%21.71%24.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.284.254.7025.64%23.34%23.53%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marie Bouzkova (Local) : 78.09% ; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur) : 21.91%. Pour Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.56. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +2.98%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +2.98%E +0.633%K +0.804%G +0.024%3.2%2026-08-16 08:20
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%EV +1.88%E +0.404%K +0.515%G +0.010%2.8%2026-08-16 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.785%E +0.171%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-16 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.785%E +0.171%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-16 04:34
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 17:10
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:04
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 07:44
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 04:34
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 04:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.50%E -0.562%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.50%E -0.562%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.85%E -6.66%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 07:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.63%E -7.38%K -50.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:55
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:04
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 07:44
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 17:04
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 16:34
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.63%E -7.38%K -50.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 04:34
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 07:54
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -7.10%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:35
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:30
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.47%EV -0.045%E -0.035%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.53%EV -8.86%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:40
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.07%E -5.94%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:10
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 07:23
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 07:45
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 07:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.85%E -6.66%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 17:08
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:05
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%2.8%2026-08-16 16:35
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-08-16 17:10