StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marie Bouzkova v Lucrezia Stefanini

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 17:11 UTC

Slutresultat: Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Lucrezia Stefanini

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marie Bouzkova (Hemma)

Prognos 78.09%1.28rättvist odds
EV -0.045%
Fördel -0.035%
Kelly -0.159%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.88%78.16%78.29%79.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.171.211.221.2885.47%82.45%81.97%78.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lucrezia Stefanini (Borta)

Prognos 21.91%4.56rättvist odds
EV +2.98%
Fördel +0.633%
Kelly +0.804%
Tillväxt +0.024%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.61%21.84%21.71%24.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.284.254.7025.64%23.34%23.53%21.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marie Bouzkova (Hemma): 78.09%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Borta): 21.91%. För Lucrezia Stefanini (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.56. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.98%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +2.98%E +0.633%K +0.804%G +0.024%3.2%2026-08-16 08:20
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%EV +1.88%E +0.404%K +0.515%G +0.010%2.8%2026-08-16 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.785%E +0.171%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-16 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.785%E +0.171%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-16 04:34
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 17:10
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:04
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 07:44
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 04:34
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.312%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 04:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.50%E -0.562%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -2.50%E -0.562%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.85%E -6.66%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 07:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.63%E -7.38%K -50.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:55
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:04
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 07:44
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:03
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 17:04
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 16:34
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.63%E -7.38%K -50.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 04:34
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 07:54
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.51%E -4.55%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -7.10%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:35
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:30
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.47%EV -0.045%E -0.035%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.53%EV -8.86%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:40
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.07%E -5.94%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:10
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 07:23
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 07:45
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 07:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.85%E -6.66%K -43.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 17:08
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.17%E -2.55%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-16 17:05
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%2.8%2026-08-16 16:35
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-08-16 17:10