Language:English
Madison Keys v Xiyu Wang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 75.79%1.32fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%75.64%75.74%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.23%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xiyu Wang (Visit)
Prediction 24.21%4.13fair odd
EV +0.489%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.155%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.36%24.26%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.853.804.1530.30%25.98%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 75.79%; Xiyu Wang (Visit): 24.21%. For Xiyu Wang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.489%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV +0.489%E +0.118%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.21%E -0.296%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.93%E -0.477%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.42%E -0.600%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.42%E -0.600%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -2.90%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 21:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.03%E -4.86%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.78%E -5.52%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.54%E -6.18%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.54%E -6.18%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -6.05%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.03%E -4.86%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.02%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 21:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.48%E -1.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29% | 1.0% | 2026-08-19 22:46 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |