Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys v Xiyu Wang

Inizio: 2026-08-19 23:07 UTC

Finale: Madison Keys 2–0 Xiyu Wang

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 75.79%1.32quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -4.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.74%75.64%75.74%76.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.23%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Xiyu Wang (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.21%4.13quota equa
EV +0.489%
Vantaggio +0.118%
Kelly +0.155%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.36%24.36%24.26%28.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.853.804.1530.30%25.98%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Madison Keys (Casa): 75.79%; Xiyu Wang (Trasferta): 24.21%. Per Xiyu Wang (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.13. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.15, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.489%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV +0.489%E +0.118%K +0.155%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-19 21:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 21:55
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.21%E -0.296%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.93%E -0.477%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.42%E -0.600%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 21:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.42%E -0.600%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 21:56
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -2.90%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 22:56
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 21:56
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:50
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 21:36
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.03%E -4.86%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.78%E -5.52%K -29.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.54%E -6.18%K -34.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 14:10
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.54%E -6.18%K -34.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 22:00
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 21:56
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 22:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 21:56
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 21:31
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -6.05%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:56
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.03%E -4.86%K -25.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.02%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:31
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:31
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:31
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 21:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 21:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 22:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 21:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 22:56
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 21:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 21:30
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:50
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 21:30
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 21:30
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 21:29
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 21:30
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.48%E -1.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 22:56
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-19 22:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-19 22:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-19 22:56
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-19 22:56
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.0%2026-08-19 22:46
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-08-19 22:56
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-08-19 22:56