Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Madison Keys (Local): 75.79%; Xiyu Wang (Visitante): 24.21%. Para Xiyu Wang (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.13. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.489%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV +0.489%E +0.118%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.722%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.21%E -0.296%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.93%E -0.477%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.42%E -0.600%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.42%E -0.600%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -2.90%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 21:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.03%E -4.86%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.78%E -5.52%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.54%E -6.18%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.54%E -6.18%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.14%E -0.786%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -6.05%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.03%E -4.86%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.02%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.75%E -2.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 21:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.51%E -3.58%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 21:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.24%E -1.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.99%E -2.34%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.27%E -4.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.48%E -1.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29% | 1.0% | 2026-08-19 22:46 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |